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NAI apollo: Market for residential portfolio transactions ends 2023 with lowest sales result since 2011

  • Transaction volume amounts to €6.2bn for 2023 as a whole
  • Fourth quarter in line with previous three months at €1.4bn
  • Lack of large transactions has biggest negative impact on the overall result
  • Trading in project developments falls to a 22 % market share
  • Manage-to-green strategies and ESG conformity of growing importance
  • Asset Managers and Funds Managers are most active buyers, while Listed Property Companies dominate on the sell-side
  • Outlook for 2024: transaction activity expected to remain subdued in the coming months in light of the continuing difficult economic conditions; increased pressure to sell as a result of refinancing and to safeguard liquidity; signs of market recovery later in the year owing to a growing demand-supply imbalance on rental markets as well as dynamic rental trends and price stabilisation

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NAI apollo: Frankfurt office lettings market performed below average in 2023 despite an improvement in Q4

  • Annual take-up in 2023 reaches 357,800 sqm and is a quarter below the medium- and long-term averages
  • Group comprising banks, financial service providers and insurance companies consolidate pole position
  • Highest take-up volumes achieved in Bankenlage (banking district) and Eschborn
  • Vacancy rate stands at 9.0 %
  • A third of total take-up is generated by projects, new buildings and refurbishment projects
  • Difficulties faced by developers result in a drop in the project volume
  • Average rent is €24.30/sqm; prime rent makes noticeable gain to €47.50/sqm
  • Slight optimism for 2024; clients continue to seek large spaces; moderate market recovery predicted for the second half of 2024

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NAI apollo: Logistics market in Rhine-Main registers highest space take-up in Q3 2023 since autumn 2021

  • Third-quarter take-up of 164,800 sqm is best result since Q3 2021
  • The 311,800 sqm registered in the year to date is well below long-term average
  • Large-scale segments show market revival, but remain below average in a long-term comparison
  • Market activity in new-build segment remains at a low level
  • Storage and logistics service providers represent most active group, followed by companies from industry and the manufacturing sector
  • Focus on southern sub-markets with market share of 65 %
  • Outlook: overall economic environment will constrain occupier demand, although the limited supply of available space remains the key problem; significant increase in construction activity is not expected; total annual take-up of over 400,000 sqm is possible

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NAI apollo: Transaction market for residential portfolios registers weakest nine-month result since 2011

  • Transaction volume of €4.7 billion in the year to date
  • Investment revenue of €1.4 billion in third quarter is slightly above the previous quarter
  • Number of transactions halved compared to the previous year; trading in project developments continues to decrease
  • Asset and Funds Managers remain the most active buyers, while Listed Property Companies account for highest sales volume
  • Outlook for 2023/2024: Price expectations of market participants are slowly converging, yet transaction activity remains subdued owing to ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and high construction and financing costs

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NAI apollo: Another weak quarter for the Frankfurt office lettings market

  • Space take-up of 87,000 sqm broadly in line with previous quarterly results
  • Take-up in 2023 to date amounts to 261,100 sqm and is well below the medium and long-term averages
  • Banks, financial service providers and insurance firms as well as industrial production and manufacturing sector represent most active industries
  • Banking district and Messe/Europaviertel are most popular sub-markets
  • Vacancy rate rises to 9.0 %
  • Average rent at €24.80/sqm; prime rent at €46.00/sqm; positive rental development likely in foreseeable future
  • 2023: Economic slowdown acts as a noticeable deterrent for office users, although there are requests for large spaces on the market, including from the public sector; total annual take-up could reach around 350,000 sqm

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NAI apollo corporate finance recruits Klaus Schumacher for the Distressed Real Estate and NPL division

Frankfurt am Main, August 29, 2023 – NAI apollo, a partner of the NAI apollo group, has secured Klaus Schumacher, one of the leading experts in Distressed Real Estate and Non-Performing Loans (NPL) in Germany, for its Corporate Finance division under the leadership of Ingo Rösinger. Together, they will establish a real estate-oriented special situation platform with a wide range of services in the NPL and Distressed Real Estate sector. Schumacher sees himself as a problem solver for banks, other financiers, and portfolio holders.

 

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Frankfurt office lettings market continues its weak performance in Q2 2023

  • Total space take-up of 174,100 sqm in the first half of the year is below comparable mid- and long-term average figures
  • Group comprising banks, financial service providers and insurance companies still accounts for the highest take-up volume
  • Users focus on central locations and sustainable properties
  • Vacancy rate increases to 8.9 % while total vacancies exceed 1 million sqm
  • Rental prices keep on rising: average rent reaches €24.90 €/sqm; prime rent remains at €46.00/sqm
  • 2023: take-up impacted by the challenging economic environment and changing needs for office space; larger lease signings expected in the second half of the year; sustainable space remains of growing importance

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Logistics property market in the Rhine-Main area again registers below-average take-up for Q2 2023

  • Q2 take-up of 84,900 sqm is higher on a sequential basis, but well below the long-term average
  • Space take-up in the first half of 2023 falls to ten-year low of 147,000 sqm  
  • Low market activity in new project developments
  • Big deals see significant fall in take-up, but demand is highest for spaces larger than 10,000 sqm
  • Warehouse and logistics service providers are the most active users in the first half, followed by retailers
  • Sub-markets in south and east account for highest take-up shares
  • Outlook: difficult market environment, but demand for space continues to exceed supply; new projects are additionally hampered by high construction and financing costs; further rental increases are likely

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In Q1 2023 the German residential portfolio transaction market falls to its lowest level since 2014

  • Transaction volume reaches only €2bn in the first quarter of 2023 owing to subdued market activity and an absence of mega-deals
  • Trading in project developments weakens after previous record results
  • Asset Managers & Funds Managers are now the strongest buyers as well as the second most active sellers after Project Developers & Contractors
  • German investors remain dominant on the buy-side despite a decline of over 50 %
  • Outlook for 2023: Uncertain market environment and cautious attitude among investors makes it more difficult to provide forecasts; the price negotiation phase is still ongoing, and the expected transaction volume will be lower than in previous years as a result

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Frankfurt office lettings market makes weak start to 2023

  • Space take-up of 82,800 sqm in Q1 2023 is around 13 % below comparable medium- and long-term figures
  • Banks, financial service providers and insurance companies generate highest share of take-up
  • Banking district is most popular sub-market
  • Vacancy rate increases to 7.9 %
  • Rental prices remain on an upward trend: prime rent at €46.00/sqm, average rent increases to €24.70/sqm
  • 2023: challenging economic outlook, yet searches for large offices and the need for sustainable space will determine the next few quarters

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